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Gut shot - Poker Quiz

By mmelia
Feb 03, 09 03:26 PM

Preflop pot 300

Your cards:
KQo

You are on the button

Flop:

A 10 9 - rainbow

Action:
First position pushes all in for 1200 and it folds to you, you are last to act. You have 1200 in your stack. Total pot is now 1500.

What are your odds? Should you call?


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COMMENTS

POSTED BY:
SCKenny

Feb 03, 09 05:02 PM

the odds of hitting a gut shot on the flop is about 16% so the right play is fold.

POSTED BY:
LoganWon

Feb 03, 09 05:45 PM

I think SC Kenny meant hitting the gut shot on the turn as u have already seen the flop. And yes the right play is to fold.

POSTED BY:
IrishQueeen

Feb 03, 09 06:09 PM

Fold. You're too poor. You're only getting a bit better than even money if you win. The odds of your winning are terrible. Kenny is right, fold. Save your chips for a better spot.

POSTED BY:
Hasley

Feb 03, 09 08:21 PM

Fold.

I will even spin this in another direction.

You have a 61% chance to miss everything. (no pair, no straight, no flush (obv) )
-
The chance to have top pair or better is around 19% - 4.12:1 against you.
-
Now I have seen loads of folks push all in with 4:1 odds and end up standing with roses. This is not usually a right move as most know and in this case I would argue the fact you don't have a an ace in your hand means you are prob already beat every other way save a hailmary ja

POSTED BY:
jontm

Feb 03, 09 09:15 PM

4 outs to the str8 x 4 = 16%

1200 to win 2700= 2.25 chips to 1 wagered or 40% of the pot to call (rough numbers)

ZERO implied odds

16%<40% = poor odds= donk call

Am I at least close????

POSTED BY:
jontm

Feb 03, 09 09:18 PM

What about runner runner KK or QQ or KQ? Thats 6 more outs!!!!

Thats 40%!!!!! Now???? Oh wait.......... its still a donk call

Maybe with a poor excuse like a mountain of chips........still a donk call

POSTED BY:
jontm

Feb 03, 09 09:22 PM

That is of course that he not holding AK, AQ, 10s, Aces or 9s......heck maybe even A 10 oh and the board doesn't counterfit with his ace making my KQ two pair no good.........why do you ask these hard questions and who plays those hands anyway........

POSTED BY:
LH90

Feb 04, 09 07:17 AM

terrible odds to call terrible % to win its an insta fold.

POSTED BY:
mmelia

Feb 04, 09 09:02 AM

I love you guys. :)

I guess only poker players read these blogs since I didn't even one wrong response. There is hope! I'll have to give you all a a harder one.

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